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AI FEATURE · RISK INTELLIGENCE

MODEL EXPECTED CREDIT LOSS — STAGED,
SCENARIO-WEIGHTED,
AND RBI-READY.

OneFin's ECL module runs on your live loan data — computing stage-based provisioning across three macroeconomic scenarios, with full audit traceability.

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THE PROBLEM

A WORKING ECL MODEL IS ONLY THE START. PRODUCTION-SCALE IMPLEMENTATION IS THE HARD PART.

NBFCs have been required to compute ECL under Ind AS 109 since 2018-19. The framework is not new. What remains unsolved for most mid-market lenders is the operational layer: transition matrices built from five-plus years of granular DPD history, scenario-weighted PD models running across every active loan, stage classifications updated continuously as DPD moves, and audit trails that can withstand model validation and board-level review.

Institutions that have attempted this on spreadsheets, or by exporting data to a standalone tool, encounter the same set of failures: data preparation consumes most of the effort, scenarios cannot be rerun quickly when macro assumptions change, and the output carries no defensible audit trail. ECL compliance requires a system, not a calculation.

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DATA PREPARATION BOTTLENECK

Assembling five-plus years of DPD history, collateral records, and outstanding balances from separate systems is the hidden cost of running ECL outside the lending platform. By the time data is prepared, it is already stale.

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GOVERNANCE REQUIREMENTS

Ind AS 109 requires adequate documentation of ECL methodology, assumptions, and model results. RBI's model risk management guidelines add independent validation and board oversight requirements. Spreadsheet outputs cannot satisfy these at a governance review.

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SCENARIO ITERATION IS MANUAL

When macroeconomic assumptions change, rerunning scenarios on a spreadsheet or external tool requires rebuilding the computation from fresh exports. Real-time sensitivity to macro shifts is not practical.

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NO LIVE PORTFOLIO CONNECTION

An ECL model running outside the LOS and LMS cannot react to live changes — new disbursements, restructured loans, DPD movements — without a manual refresh cycle that introduces lag and error.

PLATFORM INTEGRATION
ECL RUNS ON YOUR LIVE LOAN DATA — NOT AN EXPORT.

An ECL model reading from a spreadsheet export answers questions about your portfolio as it was last week. OneFin's ECL module reads from the live data layer — the same loan records that drive origination, servicing, and collections.

WITHIN THE ONEFIN PLATFORM
DATA SOURCES

LOS AND LMS RECORDS

Origination history and loan type

Repayment records and DPD status

Outstanding principal balances

Collateral classification

Restructuring and write-off events

ECL ENGINE

COMPUTATION

Stage classification (SICR rules)

Transition matrix PD

LGD per loan type

EAD calculation

Scenario weighting (3 paths)

Probability-weighted ECL

OUTPUT

PROVISIONING AND AUDIT

ECL by loan, stage, and segment

Stage transition log

Scenario input assumptions

Model parameter record

Full computation audit trail

Staging updates as DPD moves. New disbursements enter the computation automatically. Restructured loans flow through the same data path without a separate import step.

HOW IT WORKS

FOUR STEPS FROM LOAN DATA TO AUDITABLE PROVISION.

The computation follows the IFRS 9 / Ind AS 109 structure: stage classification, component estimation, scenario overlay, and probability-weighted output.

STAGE 1

Performing

0–30 DPD

12-Month ECL

STAGE 2

Significant Credit Risk

31–89 DPD · SICR trigger

Lifetime ECL

STAGE 3

Default

90+ DPD

Lifetime ECL (credit-impaired)

1
CLASSIFY STAGE

Loans are assigned to Stage 1, Stage 2 or Stage 3 based on credit quality, DPD movement and configured significant-credit-risk triggers.

DPD RULES · SICR
2
COMPUTE PD

Probability of default is derived from bucket-based migration history. A transition matrix tracks the probability of a loan moving across DPD states from the LMS history.

HISTORICAL LOAN DATA
3
APPLY LGD AND EAD

LGD captures the portion lost after default. EAD is the lender's exposure at the point of default, shown in the source as unpaid principal plus remaining principal.

RBI BACKSTOPS
4
WEIGHT SCENARIOS

Three scenarios — Optimistic, Baseline, Pessimistic — adjust PD via macroeconomic variables. Final ECL is the probability-weighted average.

IFRS 9 · IND AS 109
WORKED EXAMPLE
SCENARIO-WEIGHTED ECL FOR A SECURED RETAIL PORTFOLIO.

Illustrative computation for a Stage 1 secured retail segment. Three economic scenarios produce different PD rates; the probability-weighted average determines the final provision.

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GOVERNANCE AND COMPLIANCE
BUILT FOR THE GOVERNANCE REQUIREMENTS THAT APPLY TO NBFCS UNDER IND AS 109.

ECL obligations for NBFCs flow from Ind AS 109, IFRS 7 disclosure requirements, and RBI's model risk management guidelines — which have been in effect since the Ind AS adoption cycle. Each requirement below maps to a platform capability, or a confirmed open question.

IND AS 109 REQUIREMENT
HISTORICAL DATA

ECL estimates must use reasonable and supportable information about past events, current conditions, and forecasts. RBI's model risk guidance for NBFCs recommends at least 5 years of granular default and recovery data for model construction.

PLATFORM

ECL computation draws from the full DPD history in the LMS data layer. No data export or external warehouse required — historical records are available within the same system.

IND AS 109 REQUIREMENT
SICR AND STAGING TRIGGERS

Ind AS 109 (Para B5.5.22) presumes SICR when contractual payments are 30 or more days past due. Institutions may rebut this presumption with documented evidence of no significant increase in credit risk.

PLATFORM

Stage classification is rule-based and configurable per Ind AS 109 guidance. SICR thresholds are set within the platform. Stage transitions — including any rebuttal documentation — are logged automatically for every loan.

IND AS 109 REQUIREMENT
MACROECONOMIC SCENARIOS

Ind AS 109 (Para 5.5.17) requires ECL to reflect an unbiased and probability-weighted amount determined by evaluating a range of possible outcomes — incorporating forward-looking macroeconomic information.

PLATFORM

Three scenarios — Optimistic, Baseline, Pessimistic — with configurable probability weights. Scenario parameters, macro assumptions, and weights are recorded as part of every ECL run and available for review.

IFRS 7 / IND AS 107 REQUIREMENT
AUDIT TRACEABILITY AND DISCLOSURES

IFRS 7 (adopted in India as Ind AS 107) requires entities to disclose the basis of ECL calculations, key assumptions, and a reconciliation of opening and closing loss allowances — by stage and asset class.

PLATFORM

Every ECL run logs its inputs - DPD data, staging assignments, macro assumptions, model parameters with computed outputs.

RBI GOVERNANCE REQUIREMENT
BOARD OVERSIGHT

RBI's governance framework for NBFCs requires board-level oversight of significant risk management methodologies. RBI's draft Model Risk Management Guidelines (2026) explicitly extend this to AI/ML-based credit risk models.

PLATFORM

Staging rules, scenario parameters, and model configuration are auditable within the platform.

IND AS 109 REQUIREMENT
INDEPENDENT MODEL VALIDATION

RBI's draft Model Risk Management Guidelines (2026) require NBFCs using AI/ML models — including ECL models — to conduct independent model validation before deployment and periodic revalidation thereafter.

PLATFORM

Model parameters, transition matrix inputs, and computed outputs are accessible for review.

KEY CAPABILITIES
WHAT THE MODULE DOES — AND HOW.

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TRANSITION MATRIX PD

Probability of Default is derived from your portfolio's own DPD migration history. A bucket-based transition matrix tracks the observed probability of loans moving from each DPD state toward 90+ DPD default — using the same data already in the LMS. The matrix reflects your actual book, not external benchmarks or regulatory floors.

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RICH SCENARIO-BASED ECL

Final ECL is the probability-weighted average of Optimistic, Baseline, and Pessimistic outcomes — baseline carrying the highest weight. Stage 1 loans use 12-month ECL. Stage 2 and Stage 3 loans use lifetime ECL. The approach is consistent with IFRS 9 / Ind AS 109 requirements for scenario-weighted measurement.

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RBI-ALIGNED LGD FLOORS

LGD is applied per loan type following RBI's regulatory backstops: 65% for secured exposures, 70% for unsecured, and 45% for collateral-backed loans. Rates are configurable per product and segment within these guardrails — no need to maintain a separate LGD table outside the platform.

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FULL AUDIT TRAIL

Every ECL run is logged end-to-end: input DPD data, staging assignments, macro assumptions, scenario weights, model parameters, and computed ECL values by loan and segment. Traceability is built into the computation — not appended afterward. Available for model governance review, independent validation, and RBI disclosure without a separate export process.

SEE ECL RUN ON YOUR PORTFOLIO.

Bring your portfolio structure — product mix, DPD distribution, and any institution-specific staging assumptions — and we'll walk through how ECL staging and scenario weighting apply to your book.

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